Sunday, June 26, 2011

Zakaria: GOP's Identity No Longer Rooted in Practical Realities of America.

Fareed Zakaria* has again offered a different way to think about a puzzling, unsettling question: how should we view and understand the new identity markers and behavior of the 21st-century Republican Party? In this case, he suggests we need to recognize the GOP as no longer rooted in the practical reality of America, her challenges or their resolutions. Rather, and ironically, like other extreme ideological orientations, they are now more driven by abstract principles and philosophical constructs.

He introduces us to his premise by recounting a years-ago interview with George Will, Newsweek columnist and self-described conservative. From his recent article in Time:
Conservatism, he explained, was rooted in reality. Unlike the abstract theories of Marxism and socialism, it started not from an imagined society but from the world as it actually exists. From Aristotle to Edmund Burke, the greatest conservative thinkers have said that to change societies, one must understand them, accept them as they are and help them evolve. 
Watching this election campaign, one wonders what has happened to that tradition. Conservatives now espouse ideas drawn from abstract principles with little regard to the realities of America's present or past. This is a tragedy, because conservatism has an important role to play in modernizing the U.S.  
---"How Today's Conservatism Lost Touch with Reality," by Fareed Zakaria, Time (6.27.11)
I'm guessing you may not have cast the GOP's new "conservative" political identity in quite those terms, thought about it in quite that way. But he unpacks his argument for the position as he goes on. More from the same Time article:
Consider the debates over the economy. The Republican prescription is to cut taxes and slash government spending — then things will bounce back. Now, I would like to see lower rates in the context of tax simplification and reform, but what is the evidence that tax cuts are the best path to revive the U.S. economy? Taxes — federal and state combined — as a percentage of GDP are at their lowest level since 1950. The U.S. is among the lowest taxed of the big industrial economies. So the case that America is grinding to a halt because of high taxation is not based on facts but is simply a theoretical assertion. The rich countries that are in the best shape right now, with strong growth and low unemployment, are ones like Germany and Denmark, neither one characterized by low taxes...
But what about the GOP's insistence that we have outsized government that must be cut back drastically? Mr. Zakaria:
[R]ight now any discussion of government involvement in the economy — even to build vital infrastructure — is impossible because it is a cardinal tenet of the new conservatism that such involvement is always and forever bad...[But] from Singapore to South Korea to Germany to Canada, evidence abounds that some strategic actions by the government can act as catalysts for free-market growth. 
Of course, American history suggests that as well. In the 1950s, '60s and '70s, the U.S. government made massive investments in science and technology, in state universities and in infant industries. It built infrastructure that was the envy of the rest of the world. Those investments triggered two generations of economic growth and put the U.S. on top of the world of technology and innovation. 
But that history has been forgotten. When considering health care, for example, Republicans confidently assert that their ideas will lower costs, when we simply do not have much evidence for this. What we do know is that of the world's richest countries, the U.S. has by far the greatest involvement of free markets and the private sector in health care. It also consumes the largest share of GDP, with no significant gains in health on any measurable outcome. We need more market mechanisms to cut medical costs, but Republicans don't bother to study existing health care systems anywhere else in the world. They resemble the old Marxists, who refused to look around at actual experience.
Mr. Zakaria is no less direct and clear in his concluding points, as he calls out today's GOP to embrace the principles and identity that once made them an essential part of shaping the American economic and societal success story. In conclusion:
Conservatives used to be the ones with heads firmly based in reality...Today conservatives shy away from the sensible ideas of the Bowles-Simpson commission on deficit reduction because those ideas are too deeply rooted in, well, reality. Does anyone think we are really going to get federal spending to the level it was at under Calvin Coolidge, as Paul Ryan's plan assumes? Does anyone think we will deport 11 million people? 
We need conservative ideas to modernize the U.S. economy and reform American government. But what we have instead are policies that don't reform but just cut and starve government — a strategy that pays little attention to history or best practices from around the world and is based instead on a theory.
Amen, Mr. Zakaria. Thank you for the perspective. 


[*Fareed Zakaria has been managing editor of Foreign Affairs, a columnist for Newsweek and editor of Newsweek International, and now is Editor-at-Large of Time and host of CNN's Fareed Zakaria GPS. He has been called a liberal, a moderate, and a conservative, but identifies himself as a centrist. If you look across the span of his writing and speaking, it is hard to fit him into a tidy ideological or political identity, although he did support Barack Obama for president. His views and values are considered, well informed, and well reasoned. If one were to place Fareed Zakaria and David Brooks as the book-ends of the space defining a centrist orientation to government and political identity, it would be a well-informed, principled, practical, and honorable identity, indeed.]



Friday, June 24, 2011

Of Emerson, Whitman, and Oliver

From different eras and places, let these poetic voices and their connectedness say what they will to you:


1. Ralph Waldo Emerson
(from Each and All)

Then I said, 'I covet truth;
Beauty is unripe childhood's cheat;
I leave it behind with the games of youth.'

As I spoke, beneath my feet
The ground-pine curled its pretty wreath,
Running over the club-moss burrs.
I inhaled the violets breath;
Around me stood the oaks and first;
Pine cones and acorns lay on the ground;
Over me soared the eternal sky,
Full of light and deity.

Again I saw, again I heard,
The rolling river, the morning bird;
Beauty through my senses stole;
I yielded myself to the perfect whole.


2. Walt Whitman
(from To See God)

Why should I wish to see God better than this day?
I see something of God each hour of the twenty four,
and each moment then,
In the faces of men and women I see God
and in my own face in the glass,
I see letters from God dropped in the street,
and every one is signed by God's name.


3. Mary Oliver
(from Not This, Not That)

Not this, not that, nor anything...
will alter


my love for you, my friends and my [B]eloved,
or for you, ghosts of Emerson and Whitman,


or for you, oh blue sky of a summer morning,
that makes me roll in a barrel of gratitude
down hills,


or for you, oldest of friends: hope;
or for you, newest of friends: faith;


or for you, ...dearest of surprises: my own life.


4. Mary Oliver
(from Mornings at Blackwater)

For years, every morning, I drank
from Blackwater Pond...
And always it assuaged me
from the dry bowl of the very far past.


What I want to say is
that the past is the past,
and the present is what your life is,
and you are capable
of choosing what that will be,
darling citizen.


So come to the pond,
or the river of your imagination,
or the harbor of your longing,


and put your lips to the world.
And live your life.




Saturday, June 18, 2011

Just As It Is: David Brook's On the State of Politics in America

David Brooks is the designated "Republican" or more "conservative" columnist on the op-ed pages of the New York Times. But narrow characterizations like that neither contain him nor do him justice. From my Independent perspective, he is more an American centrist and realist who holds fast to America's highest, most enduring political, economic and social support ideals. And he does not compromise his identity, intellect, or values by being pulled one way or another by the narrowing, polarized party politics of today.

I don't always agree with his assessments or positions on issues, particularly on our warring adventures. And I may be somewhat more concerned that necessary cost-reduction and reform of social programs must still leave education, healthcare, and support of the poor and lower-income retired focused enough and effective enough to maintain the vitality, competitveness and social stability of a country that still aspires to greatness. But he cares earnestly about these things, too. We start with reasonably common assumptions and values, and belief in a political process meant to have as its purpose sharing the best thinking and seeking the best answers for America as a whole. And it calls on our elected national leaders to first and always be accountable for their role as national leader-statesmen. This now, from a recent David Brooks op-ed column in the NYT:
I'm registering a protest because for someone of my Hamiltonian/National Greatness perspective, the two parties contesting this election are unusually pathetic. Their programs are unusually unimaginative. Their policies are unusually incommensurate to the problem at hand.  
This election is about how to avert national decline. All other issues flow from that anxiety.  
The election is happening during a downturn in the economic cycle, but the core issue is the accumulation of deeper structural problems that this recession has exposed — unsustainable levels of debt, an inability to generate middle-class incomes, a dysfunctional political system, the steady growth of special-interest sinecures and the gradual loss of national vitality. 
The number of business start-ups per capita has been falling steadily for the past three decades. Workers' share of national income has been declining since 1983. Male wages have been stagnant for about 40 years. The American working class — those without a college degree — is being decimated, economically and socially. In 1960, for example, 83 percent of those in the working class were married. Now only 48 percent are. ... 
The Republican growth agenda — tax cuts and nothing else — is stupefyingly boring, fiscally irresponsible and politically impossible. Gigantic tax cuts — if they were affordable — might boost overall growth, but they would do nothing to address the structural problems that are causing a working-class crisis.  
Republican politicians don't design policies to meet specific needs, or even to help their own working-class voters. They use policies as signaling devices — as ways to reassure the base that they are 100 percent orthodox and rigidly loyal. Republicans have taken a pragmatic policy proposal from 1980 and sanctified it as their core purity test for 2012.  
As for the Democrats, they offer practically nothing. They acknowledge huge problems like wage stagnation and then offer... light rail! Solar panels! It was telling that the Democrats offered no budget this year, even though they are supposedly running the country. That's because they too are trapped in a bygone era.  
Mentally, they are living in the era of affluence, but, actually, they are living in the era of austerity. They still have these grand spending ideas, but there is no longer any money to pay for them and there won't be for decades. Democrats dream New Deal dreams, propose nothing and try to win elections by making sure nobody ever touches Medicare.   
---"Pundit Under Protest," by David Brooks, New York Times (6.13.11)
Amen. And of course, David Brooks is not the only one making these observations. Sane, balanced, but sad voices from all sides are shouting out these obvious failures of our two parties and our national political process to all who will hear it. They are calling out our elected US House members and Senators. But so few among those sad assemblies appear to be listening.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/14/opinion/14brooks.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper 

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Maoists Attacking Liberalism in China

Recent articles have made the sober observation that reactionary Maoists may be having more influence on events in China than we appreciate. And those events would include the seeming over-reactions to the risk of a Chinese "jasmine revolution," the detention and harrassment of artist and social critic Ai Wei Wei among many others, and the removal of the Confucius statue from Tienanmen.

It's not that the potential for social unrest related to economic challenges and societal dislocations in China are not sufficient in themselves to draw out the repressive tendencies of more conservative Chinese leaders. They are. It's not that the leadership's hold on societal stability might be more fragile than we realized. It very well may be--and the party conservatives likely see it just that way. But China's increasingly progressive leadership have made much progress in these areas over the last few decades. We would have expected that moderate leadership would hold sway and be more cautious about such a broad-based repressive campaign. But that failing, it is only reasonable to look for other factors or influences, as well, to expect there is more to it than we know. And in this already fragile societal context, it appears likely the resurgent confidence of Maoist voices are also influencing the actions of conservative and moderate leaders alike.

Naples friend from the Chinese Art & History Group, Eila McKenzie, recently visited her son in Beijing and kindly shared the surprisingly nonplussed, ground-level reaction she encountered to the recent removal of the Confucius statue: a shrug of their collective shoulders and puzzlement at concerns that it should much matter. But to the Maoist reactionaries, it apparently did matter--as was reported in the NYT article I cited in my recent post, "Confucius Vanishes from Tienanmen Square" (4.29.11). Now an Economist article also suggests the increasing volume of these Maoist voices are influencing the nervous, repressive inclinations of the PRC party leadership in these several situations. From The Economist:
The petition bore the names of nearly 10,000 people accusing a liberal intellectual of slandering Mao Zedong and attempting to overthrow the Communist Party itself. Emboldened by a chill political wind, diehard Maoists in China are rising to confront their critics. 
The Maoists' appeal for the arrest of Mao Yushi, a well-known economist (and no relation of the late chairman), is their most concerted public attempt in many years to put pressure on the government. A clutch of Maoist websites frequently vilify intellectuals such as Mr Mao. But campaigning openly for someone to be put on trial is unusual. It is a symptom of a recent escalation of ideological struggles between China's West-leaning liberals and conservative hardliners. The Maoists froth at the extreme fringe of the hardline camp. But their cause is gaining headway as the authorities wage an intense crackdown on dissent, putting pressure on NGOs and arresting or otherwise making vanish dozens of government critics. 
---"Liberalism under attack in China: Boundlessly loyal to the great monster," The Economist, Asia Section (5.28.11)
And this has played on the concerns of the party leadership about their economic challenges, societal dislocations and related social unrest. And then there is the approaching 90th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party, and the importance of setting the right balance in content and tone for a successful national celebration. More from the same article:
All year the Communist Party has been jittery about the possible spread of Arab-style "jasmine revolution" to China. (The word "jasmine" has been all but banned in the media, as has the flower itself in markets.) Now the party is all the more anxious as it prepares to celebrate, on July 1st, the 90th anniversary of its founding. It does not want the occasion to be clouded by misgivings about the man who led it to power. Mao is too intimately linked with the party's identity to allow any further examination of the "mistakes" the party sheepishly admitted he made, five years after his death in 1976.
But the increasing liberal majority in the party leadership, the force and vision behind China's slow evolution toward a modern nation with its own brand of market socialism and advanced society, will not stand by and allow their direction to be reversed. Instead, they will likely do what they always do: patiently bend as necessary, give what must be given, to get past this challenge to their progress. And it is a time of many other significant economic, societal, and political challenges for China. Doubtless that is why more strident Maoist voices are now being heard and joined. As in the case of America's Tea Party, conservative populist alternatives always seem to draw more dissident voices in times of economic and social unhappiness. But this too will likely pass, and China will step back on the road of measured but certain social progress. At least, that is what we should be hoping for: that they will patiently wait out and work through their problems, then again move intentionally, with dispatch, to take advantage of their opportunities. The general thinking and concerns of some of China's government and business leaders suggest they understand the problem, and are impliedly addressing it. From the same article:
A relative liberal, Wen Jiabao, the prime minister, in a meeting with a visitor from Hong Kong in April, said two forces were causing difficulties for China's reform efforts. One, Mr Wen said, was "vestiges of feudal society" (party-speak for conservatism). The other, he added, was the "pernicious influence of the Cultural Revolution". Apologists for that orgy of violence, destruction and persecution in the latter years of Mao's rule abound in China's Maoist circles. Qin Xiao, a former chairman of China Merchants Bank and a prominent moderniser, warned in an interview this month that the "evil habits" of the Cultural Revolution were in danger of resurfacing. At least this time, in contrast to earlier hardline crackdowns, some liberals are fighting back.
But the article and these quotes from Wen Jiabao and Qin Xiao hardly substantiate that "liberals are fighting back." The quote from Wen Jiabao states that the two elements "causing difficulties for China's reform efforts" were the party conservatives and the Maoists--which merely states the problem. The prominent banker says more or less the same. Of course, the implication is that reform efforts are ongoing. Regardless, it is fair to expect that the more liberal Chinese leadership are continuing their efforts--but as carefully, wisely, as they can, including doing what Chinese leadership does well: patiently take the long view, bending where they must, conceding what they must, and planning their stronger responses and initatives for when better economic and social winds are blowing.

China is negotiating a rough section of road. And they will have a difficult time keeping their progress parade marching in line and properly ordered. But however clumsy and halting their short-term progress, however unwelcome some of their methods, in due course they will likely find their way to smoother, more reliable footing. Then the progress parade will again move steadily to a more stable economic and societal beat, and progressives will again hold sway in advancing their social agenda. The Maoists will become fewer in number and more marginalized with every passing decade. At least, that's how we must earnestly hope it will all evolve.

Link:

Sunday, June 5, 2011

Only in RI: 'They just broke the city'

"Only in Rhode Island," is an oft-invoked sigh of resignation in RI, usually inspired by the latest ugly turn of events in a culturally-ingrained, historically unending course of government ineptitude, mismanagement, and corruption. And too often taking their place at the periphery, if not the center, of these disspiriting political messes are the involvements of public employee unions. And in this case--this well-documented case--they are right at the center of Providence's unworkable pension and retirement healthcare obligations.

Not long ago, the front page of the Providence Journal ("Projo") displayed a half-page graph showing the relatively meager $millions of funding put away and available to meet the $billions of obligations owing for state and municipal pension and retiree health benefits in Rhode Island. Meeting those obligations is impossible. The new state treasurer has now set about bringing all the parties to the table and to the process of cutting back these obligations to workable levels that reflect what semblance of fairness can be achieved for both affected public employees and taxpayers. (And, yes, I know that it is not only in RI. Lots of other states and municipalities have crafted their own disasters of irresponsibility and incompetence in these areas of public employee benefits.)

But this article on the front page of today's Projo details the ludicrously indefensible involvement of Providence public union employees, often public union officers, holding a majority of seats on the Providence Retirement Board. The public union majority members came to dominate unchecked the recommendation and approval process for increasingly unworkable levels of increased benefits, and the process of funding them. It evolved that neither the City Council nor Mayor could oversee or overrule their decisions. Unbelievable. Government failure in so many ways, on so many levels.

For my friends outside RI, there will likely be the bewildered question of how any properly functioning representative government could define the roles of public representatives to allow this to happen, how they could be complicit in allowing the public unions to exercise such control in these matters. For those friends who share my years of life and work in the Ocean State, but also didn't appreciate the full history of this particular episode, the only thing left to them is to more despondently than ever say again, "Only in Rhode Island."

(Click on the link above or below for this real-life story of how far out of control the role of public-employee unions can get--and how irresponsible and unrepentant the former government and union officials were and are about it.)

Link:
http://www.projo.com/news/content/providence_pension_history_06-05-11_HPO9OU2_v101.3125e19.html 

Thursday, June 2, 2011

Next in Line?


We Americans instinctively rely on our history of moving past each new era and overcoming each new national challenge. We are a supremely self-confident nation--not just because of what we have accomplished, but as much because of a resulting sense of annointing and entitlement. But today's challenges come from the weaknesses and failings of unquestioned self-confidence, undisciplined self-indulgence, and abdicated leadership--as individuals and elected representatives, as a government and nation. And it comes as much from that miscast claim to annointing or entitlement. We can only hope that history does not place us next in that line of great nations and empires that failed for those very same reasons.

GH

Monday, May 30, 2011

Passages

Daughter Laura is visiting with us from Portland OR.* She joined Ginny and me for our 38th wedding anniversary dinner at Siena, a favorite restaurant. Really, 38 years! On her agenda today, a Memorial Day family cook-out at our place, and celebration of Dad's 93rd birthday! With Mom, too, 89. Dad's health is slipping fast, but he is still unbowed and in there fighting. Mom's dementia challenges her, but whenever, wherever she can, she holds on. It is good, if a little sad, for Laura to be here at this time.

We are selling our house in EG, RI; it has been our home, then summer refuge, for 24 years. It is time. Naples FL is our home base now, has been for a few years. So Laura is also here to go through the boxed memories of her growing-up years, to select those things she will keep and treasure. It is a nostalgic time for her. But good memories, all good.

Awaiting us all are the inevitable corners that must be turned, the bows that must be tied--then, the new people and places to be embraced. Passages.


[*Son Adam and his wife Nilofer cannot be with us. They have just moved from Spokane WA to Irvine CA, and are acclimating to a new home and work responsibilities. But Adam had earlier taken what he wanted from among the things of his youth.]

Sunday, May 29, 2011

"Direct" Democracy's Erosion of Representative Democracy--and the Republic

I'm an Independent--a real Independent--and a fan of David Brooks. We part ways on some issues, of course, but I tend to agree with much that he writes. But I've never agreed with him more than I do with his recent column in the NYT. It's about the problem of America's drift toward "direct" or plebiscite democracy--simple majority rule, by any other name--and away from properly functioning elected leadership roles in a representative democracy. Mr. Brooks:
The United States, as you know, was founded as a republic, not simply as a democracy. The distinction has been lost over the past few decades, but it is an important one. The believers in a democracy have unlimited faith in the character and judgment of the people and believe that political institutions should be responsive to their desires. The believers in a republic have large but limited faith in the character and judgment of the people and erect institutions and barriers to improve that character and guide that judgment.  
America's founders were republicans [small "r"]. This was not simply elitism, a matter of some rich men distrusting the masses. This was a belief that ran through society and derived from an understanding of history...The first citizens of this country erected institutions to protect themselves from their own shortcomings. We're familiar with some of them: the system of checks and balances, the Senate, etc. More important, they believed, was public spiritedness — a system of habits and attitudes that would check egotism and self-indulgence.  
[T]he meaning of the phrase "public spiritedness" has flipped since the 18th century. Now we think a public-spirited person is somebody with passionate opinions about public matters, one who signs petitions and becomes an activist for a cause. In its original sense, it meant the opposite[:]...curbing one's passions and moderating one's opinions in order to achieve a large consensus that will ensure domestic tranquility. Instead of self-expression, it meant self-restraint. It was best exemplified in the person of George Washington.  
Over the years, the democratic [small "d"] values have swamped the republican ones. We're now impatient with any institution that stands in the way of the popular will, regarding it as undemocratic and illegitimate. Politicians see it as their duty to serve voters in the way a business serves its customers. The customer is always right... 
We no longer have a leadership class — of the sort that existed as late as the Truman and Eisenhower administrations — that believes that governing means finding an equilibrium between different economic interests and a balance between political factions. Instead, we have the politics of solipsism. The political culture encourages politicians and activists to imagine that the country's problems would be solved if other people's interests and values magically disappeared.  
The democratic triumph has created a nation that runs up huge debt and is increasingly incapable of finding a balance between competing interests. Today, the country faces three intertwined economic challenges. We have to make the welfare state fiscally sustainable. We have to do it in a way that preserves the economic dynamism in the country — that provides incentives for creative destruction. We also have to do it in a way that preserves social cohesion — that reduces the growing economic and lifestyle gaps between the educated and less educated.  
These three goals are in tension with one another, but to prosper America has to address all three at the same time. 
Voters will have to embrace institutional arrangements that restrain their desire to spend on themselves right now. Political leaders will have to find ways to moderate solipsistic tribalism and come up with tax and welfare state reforms that balance economic dynamism and social cohesion.  
--"The Politics of Solipsism," by David Brooks, The New York Times (5.5.11)
Most people appear to miss or misunderstand this point; their history or civics courses just didn't stress enough this distinction about a properly functioning republic based on popular election of leader-statesmen. It was James Madison, an architect and draftsman of our Constitution and the Bill of Rights, an author of the Federalist papers, and President of the United States--as well as other early thinkers on democracy--who warned of the dangers of plebiscite democracy. As today's leaders abdicate their roles and duties, we move more, faster in that direction. Mr. Madison:
Pure democracies have ever been spectacles of turbulence and contention; have ever been found incompatible with personal security or the rights of property; and have in general been as short in their lives as they have been violent in their deaths. 
[And further:] The effect of [a representative democracy is] to refine and enlarge the public views, by passing them through the medium of a chosen body of citizens, whose wisdom may best discern the true interest of their country, and whose patriotism and love of justice will be least likely to sacrifice it to temporary or partial considerations. 
---The Federalist Paper No. 10, Publius (James Madison)**
And England's estimable, ever vigilant and thoughtful Edmund Burke offered the following reflection making the same point:
 Certainly, Gentlemen, it ought to be the happiness and glory of a Representative, to live in the strictest union, the closest correspondence, and the most unreserved communication with his constituents. Their wishes ought to have great weight with him; their opinion high respect; their business unremitted attention. It is his duty to sacrifice his repose, his pleasures, his satisfactions, to theirs; and, above all, ever, and in all cases, to prefer their interest to his own. But, his unbiased opinion, his mature judgment, his enlightened conscience, he ought not to sacrifice to you; to any man, or to any sett of men living. These he does not derive from your pleasure; no, nor from the Law and the Constitution. They are a trust from Providence, for the abuse of which he is deeply answerable. Your Representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays, instead of serving you, if he sacrifices it to your opinion. 
--"Speech to the Electors of Bristol," Edmund Burke (3 Nov. 1774), Works of the Right Honourable Edmund Burke, 1:446--48 (London: Henry G. Bohn, 1854--56)
President Eisenhower and Edmund Burke embraced the same view on the imperative of a compromising spirit in leadership:
All government, indeed every human benefit and enjoyment, every virtue, and every prudent act, is founded on compromise and barter. 
--Edmund Burke 
People talk about the middle of the road as though it were unacceptable. Actually, all human problems, excepting morals, come into the gray areas. Things are not all black and white. There have to be compromises. The middle of the road is all of the usable surface. The extremes, right and left, are in the gutters. 
---President Dwight D. Eisenhower 
It is hard not to see some of the warned-against weaknesses of direct democracy playing their part in the crisis levels of our national and local debt. It is sad and dispiriting, but so very human, to observe the demands from every income level or political orientation that someone else bear the costly burden of recovery--including the cost of essential reform to necessary public goods, human services, and retirement and health programs. And, of course, no group sees the need or fairness in raising their taxes, and that prominently includes high income folks: "Oh no, not us, we must keep our money and consumption to contribute to economic growth." Among other dispiriting aspects are the bankruptcy-threatening levels of public retirement and healthcare obligations blithely agreed to by politicians for peace and votes from state and municipal public employees. And a concomitant darkening of the larger economic picture is provided by the uncomfortable dominance of China as financier of our irresponsibly distended national debt.

And then there are the ills of state government, which in many ways are succumbing to the same temptations and failures of direct democracy in various forms. The Economist recently ran a Leaders piece and a Special Section on the perils of "extreme democracy," focusing on California as the poster child for irresponsible, unaccountable state government and the abdication of elected leadership to increasing direct, referendum democracy.
The debate about the merits of representative and direct democracy goes back to ancient times. To simplify a little, the Athenians favoured pure democracy ("people rule", though in fact oligarchs often had the last word); the Romans chose a republic, as a "public thing", where representatives could make trade-offs for the common good and were accountable for the sum of their achievements. America's Founding Fathers, especially James Madison and Alexander Hamilton, backed the Romans. Indeed, in their guise of "Publius" in the "Federalist Papers", Madison and Hamilton warn against the dangerous "passions" of the mob and the threat of "minority factions" (ie, special interests) seizing the democratic process. 
Proper democracy is far more than a perpetual ballot process. It must include deliberation, mature institutions and checks and balances such as those in the American constitution. Ironically, California imported direct democracy almost a century ago as a "safety valve" in case government should become corrupt. The process began to malfunction only relatively recently. With Proposition 13, it stopped being a valve and instead became almost the entire engine.  
You don't know what you've got till it's gone 
All this provides both a hope and a worry. The hope is that California can right itself. Already there is talk of reform—though ironically the best hope of it may be through initiatives, since the push for a constitutional convention died last year for lack of money. There is talk, too, of restoring power and credibility to the legislature, the heart of any representative democracy. That could be done by increasing its unusually small numbers, and making term limits less onerous. 
More important, direct democracy must revert to being a safety valve, not the engine. Initiatives should be far harder to introduce. They should be shorter and simpler, so that voters can actually understand them. They should state what they cost, and where that money is to come from. And, if successful, initiatives must be subject to amendment by the legislature. Those would be good principles to apply to referendums, too. 
The worry is that the Western world is slowly drifting in the opposite direction. Concern over globalisation means government is unpopular and populism is on the rise. Europeans may snigger at the bizarre mess those crazy Californians have voted themselves into. But how many voters in Europe would resist the lure of a ballot initiative against immigration? Or against mosque-building? Or lower taxes? What has gone wrong in California could all too easily go wrong elsewhere. 
---"The perils of extreme democracy: California offers a warning to voters all over the world," The Economist (4.23.11)
We can be grateful that in their practical wisdom, the founding fathers crafted a representative democracy to lead us, a republic that contemplated that it's elected representatives were to be as much statesmen representing the nation's interests as representatives of the narrower interests of particular, often provincial constituencies. All would be popularly elected, but there would be a balancing of powers and representative roles among the executive function and a bicameral legislature to prioritize and balance the representation of those tiered constituencies. 

That "balance of powers" has been largely effective. And if our representative democracy has sometimes been an uneven and rocky road of political, economic, and social turns and changes, we've come out of each challenge a stronger, better government, a stronger, better society and nation. On the whole, it has functioned well enough to accommodate the development of the most stable, advanced and generous social democracy, and the most robust, productive market economy, in the history of the world.

But now things have changed. The wrong turns, errors, protracted delays or failures to act--our political irresponsibility, abdication of leadership roles, and dysfunction--are now more widespread, more irresponsibly accepted than ever before, and they are subject to finer tolerances as the global community and economy is less forgiving.

As much or more than any other time in our history, our two dominant political parties have now become internally dominated by the most extreme elements of their constituencies. This is particularly true of the Republican party and its resurgent, now dominant right wing, and their cousins, the Tea Party. Where once, both parties united behind the executive on matters of global importance, that is no longer the case. Where there was often compromise on legislation and matters clearly in the country's interest, that is no longer the case, either. Rather, in a time of clear, sometimes dire, national and global challenges--both economic and societal--the Republican leadership now says that its principal goals and priorities are to deny the Democratic president re-election, and to deny or reverse any legislation advanced or passed during his term in office. That's what it has come to. That is the range of vision and depth of responsibility that now passes for national and international leadership. And this is our face to the world that still looks to us with hope for more balanced, responsible global leadership.

If there have been times in our history when the dysfunctional polarization of party leadership and members has rendered our government less able to serve the best interests of the country--at home and abroad--it was clearly not at a time when so much was at stake, when effective, timely and balanced responsiveness was so critical to the nation and the international community. And it was not at a time when the ascendant economic, military and geopolitical power and influence of other countries was so clearly poised to take advantage of our internal weakness, even to threaten or eclipse our power and influence in the world.

But once this addictive, destructive opiate--abdicating more to direct democracy--is out of the bottle, how do we get it back in? How do we save ourselves--except by those same politicians suddenly realizing and embracing the essential need for their responsible leadership?


**Federalist No. 10 is an essay written by James Madison and the tenth of the Federalist Papers, a series arguing for the ratification of the United States Constitution. It was published on Friday, November 23, 1787, under the pseudonym Publius, the name under which all the Federalist Papers were published. The essay is the most famous of the Federalist Papers, along with Federalist No. 51, also by Madison, and is among the most highly regarded of all American political writings.[1] (Wikipedia)

**Federalist No. 51 is an essay by James Madison, the fifty-first of the Federalist Papers. It was published on Friday February 8, 1788 under the pseudonym Publius, the name under which all the Federalist Papers were published. One of the most famous of the Federalist Papers, No. 51 addresses means by which appropriate checks and balances can be created in government and also advocates a separation of powers within the national government. One of its most important ideas is the pithy and often quoted phrase, "Ambition must be made to counteract ambition." (Wikipedia)

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Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Vermont To Be First "Single Payer" Health Insurance State

I must admit, I didn't see this coming. But after all, we are talking about Vermont. I just didn't think any state would be ready to take on such an ambitious, daunting commitment: creating a statewide, "single-payer" health insurance system. But they have. It will take some years to get there, but they have the outline of a plan, and the commitment to pursue it. And I'm pleased they did, for it may turn out to be just the experiment we need to better inform us about the possibilities and the barriers. Here's more from a recent edition of The Economist:
...In Vermont Peter Shumlin, the Democratic candidate for governor, insisted that Barack Obama's reforms had not gone far enough. "Vermont needs a single-payer system," he told voters. "Get insurance companies out of the picture." Mr Shumlin won the election. Now he is preparing to fulfill his promise. 
On May 5th Vermont's legislature passed a bill that lays out steps to adopt a single-payer health system. Mr Shumlin is expected to sign the bill shortly. No state is likely to follow Vermont's lead, at least in the near future. But with Vermont, America begins its first experiment with government-run health care.  
Vermont is an appropriate setting for the test. It is the state that re-elects Bernie Sanders, the self-described socialist senator who in 2009 presented a 700-page single-payer amendment. For local politicians, reforming health care is something of a hobby. They have debated universal coverage for decades, notably in the 1990s. But they have also enacted other changes, such as a state-subsidised health plan and a requirement that insurers cover services for autistic children. Vermont's Medicaid programme is among America's most generous. As a result only 10% of Vermonters are uninsured, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation, compared with 17% of Americans. Health spending per person is 15% higher than the national average.  
---"The American exception: Vermont may become the first state to have government-run health care," The Economist (5.14.11)
But if per capita health care spending in Vermont is 15% higher than the national average, what is the game plan to significantly reduce healthcare costs, and move toward the level of some of the European single-payer systems that operate at half the per capita costs of the US? From the same article:
The new law attempts to expand coverage and lower costs. The state will move forward in two steps. The first goal is to create a health exchange by 2014, as required by the national health reform. The second is to use the infrastructure of that exchange, such as a single system for paying claims, to introduce publicly-funded health care in 2017. An independent board will set payment rates for doctors and hospitals, as well as benefit packages for patients. Costs will be contained, Mr Shumlin says, by cutting administrative expenses, slashing fraud and rewarding doctors for the quality rather than just the quantity of care.
As moved as I am to see healthcare as a "public good," and the need for a government-based, single-payer system to equitably and effectively administer it, there's more to cost reduction and cost containment than that. It's not just about the insurance structure, as friend Dieter Haussmann, informed observer and skeptic of a single-payer US healthcare insurance system, is wont to remind me. It's about effective cost reduction and cost containment; that's the sine qua non of any universal health care system if it is to be both effective and affordable. And it has to be both.

Dieter is understandably skeptical about the ability of government to effectively lead and manage such an enterprise, especially on such a cost-conscious basis. The government record in the US is not inspiring. And regardless of my insistence that among those single-payer systems in other countries are good benchmarks for healthcare coverage policy, cost-efficient service systems, and good medical practice, those countries have their cost containment challenges, too.

But Vermont clearly appears to appreciate that there are many unresolved issues and unanswered questions to be addressed as they move forward: how to reduce cost per capita, to be sure, but also related issues of defining the scope of services and identifying reliable funding sources:
However, this progress may not proceed as hoped. Single-payer systems are not a panacea—health spending is growing at a faster clip in Britain and Canada than in America. Furthermore, the main aspects of Vermont's plan have yet to be worked out. Most crucial, politicians have not decided how the scheme will be funded. In a study for the state legislature, William Hsiao of Harvard University recommended a payroll tax on companies and employees, rather than paying for it out of general taxation. But the governor's office has until 2013 to present a plan. It is also unclear which health services will be covered and how to pay for Vermonters who seek care out-of-state. And the whole scheme will need federal approval.
This process in Vermont should be instructive for the rest of the country to observe. I am hopeful, of course. But I have questions about whether a small state has the economies of scale and resources to prove a good test of the possibilities. But it's the only opportunity we have, and we are fortunate to have that. I'll be watching; so will Dieter. So will the nation, the Democrats, Republicans, Independents, all.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

One or Two Things: Mary Oliver

Mary Oliver so often provides what I need, when I need it--whether I'm looking for it or not, whether I know I need it or not. It's so easy to relate to her most insightful, transcendent or uplifting reflections on life as she looks deeply at the simplist, most common earthly things and events. But now and then she surprises with that sober reflection, that recurrent lesson of reality, that causes us to stop and just feel it, often uncomfortably, then look for something more comforting or transcendent. Reading through Dreamworks (1986) again, I was struck that way by parts of one poem I'd read a few times before:


One or Two Things

1
Don't bother me.
I've just
been born...

3
The god of [earth]
came up to me many times and said
so many wise and delectable things, I lay
on the grass listening
to his dog voice,
crow voice,
frog voice;
now, he said,
and now,
and never once mentioned forever,

4
which has nevertheless always been,
like a sharp iron hoof, at the center of my mind...

7
For years and years I struggled
just to love my life. And then

the butterfly
rose, weightless, in the wind.
"Don't love your life
too much," it said,

and vanished
into the world.


Just the instinctive reflection of her spiritual intuition? Perhaps. Or, perhaps her own translation and experience of the Zen, Sufi or Christian contemplatives? But isn't it also possible to see a foreshadowing of her future life-and-loss lessons, her spiritual rebirth, her own deeper, personal experiences and understandings to come?


Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Osama bin Laden. Pakistan.

On Sunday, May 1, 2011, based upon new American intelligence, and at the direction of President Obama, an elite American SEAL team succeeded in it's mission to take Osama bin Laden. He was killed in a compound in Pakistan not far from Islamabad, and he had apparently been there for some time.

So it is done, finally. Everything's been said, and said again. There is joy, a shared national, even global joy about it--and also relief, but the kind attended by a shade of unhappiness and resignation that it unavoidably took so long.

We were so close to him in those early days in the Tora Bora mountains of eastern Afghanistan. It's been a long time. And for some time we've heard the coninuing, apparently credible reports that Pakistan was often protecting, even directing and financing the Taliban and its leaders, perhaps even keeping Mullah Omar. We dared not think Osama bin Laden, for there was little al Qaeda presence in Afghanistan or Pakistan--and Pakistan couldn't be that bold.

But then we found him. He was in a high-walled, large and conspicuous compound without any detectable communications connections. It was located in an affluent community some 60 miles from the Pakistan capital, Islamabad, and two miles from their principal military academy. And the residents of that community include many Pakistani military families.

When it was built five years ago, someone might have noticed how unusual it was for that residential area, both in size and configuration. Someone might have noticed how anonymous the occupants, how clandestine, perhaps furtive, their activities--especially given it's location, neighbors, and the reputation of the Pakistani intelligence service (ISI) for knowing all that goes on and who is doing it.

Surely it is apparent why President Obama chose not to inform the Pakistani government or military of our mission to take bin Laden from that compound--and in all likelihood, take him dead.

Congratulations to the intelligence team and the elite SEAL team that made the mission possible and made it a success. Now we must sort out what kind of continuing relationship with Pakistan remains necessary for regional stability and security--and what kind of relationship is still workable, given our history with this unreliable, mendacious "ally," whose interests and agenda have often proved contrary to our own.

Friday, April 29, 2011

Confucius Vanishes From Tiananmen Square

We couldn't have been more surprised when the statue of Confucius suddenly appeared at Tiananmen in the first place. And set right across from and facing Mao Zedong! It's arrival was stunning, but understandable and promising. It is now almost as surprising that the Confucius statue has suddenly disappeared.

But it's disappearance is more ominous, more dispiriting. For it now appears the hard-line Maoist faction in China's leadership is still a notable force exerting influence on the Chinese Communist Party. If it is not powerful enough to blunt the progressive direction of China's economic and societal agenda, it is powerful enough--or has the potential to be disruptive enough--to halt such a public embrace of this singular symbol of what the Communist and Cultural Revolutions had stood so single-mindedly against: the institutionalized Confucian values and behavior system that formed the foundation for imperial China.

In a post to this website last January, "Confucius in Tiananmen Square," I offered this introduction to the appearance of the statue:
In recent correspondence, a friend offered some China news and a reflection about it:
"They just erected a 30 foot bronze statue of Confucius inTiananmen Square,facing the Mao Memorial. One of the rallying cries of the May 4th Movement in 1919 was "Down with Confucius, Inc.!" a theme that has reverberated through the Cultural Revolution. Now that Confucius, Inc. has been dismantled, it is apparently safe to honor Confucius, Teacher."
Apparently not, or at least not so prominently, so boldly representing his "rehabilitated," resurgent self-confidence--his very presence in that place heralding the eclipse of Mao. More than the old-guard Maoist veterans could bear, no doubt.  But this does not mean that the advancing national program to reclaim and teach Confucian values and identity is imperiled. Reporting has indicated that across venues and levels, the program is embraced and supported by the broader Chinese leadership. Let's hope that is true. And in 2012, there is scheduled a broad-based changing of the guard among the oldest, senior-most leadership of the government and military, offering further basis for hopefulness. The announced ascendency of Xi Jinping to succeed Hu Jintao as General Secretary and President marks the rise of yet another, even younger generation of more pragmatic, progressive leaders in China--and they will likely be replacing a number of the older, hard-line Maoist. At least, that appears likely.

So, it is not unreasonable to expect that in a few years the statue of the old sage may again make his appearance at Tiananmen Square. But next time, we can hope it will be more open, more triumphant--that the leadership and people may feel safer, more empowered, to stand there with him, acknowledging that Confucius appropriately, perhaps necessarily, occupies a place as close to the heart of Chinese identity as anyone else.

At this time, China needs such symbols of identity, character, values and discipline as its leadership and people engage the considerable challenges to be faced in their global economic and societal ambitions. But in the short term, it is not at all clear what, if anything, will publicly follow from the statue's disappearance. Not surprising, perhaps, I've seen nothing in China Daily about it all yet. But the following article from the New York Times.com shares what they know about the statue's disappearance, and reports what they've heard about why it likely happened and what it means. From the NYT
   BEIJING — ...The sudden disappearance of Confucius, which took place under cover of darkness early Thursday morning, has stoked outrage among the philosopher's descendants, glee among devoted Maoists and much conjecture among analysts who seek to decipher the intricacies of the Chinese leadership's decisions. Although there were some reports that the statue had been moved to a less prominent location within the newly expanded National Museum, those who had a hand in bringing Confucius to the ceremonial heart of the capital were of little help Friday. Tian Shanting, a spokesman for the museum, which had unveiled the statue with great fanfare, said he had no idea what had happened. The sculptor, Wu Weishan, declined to comment, as did city officials who have jurisdiction over Tiananmen Square... 
The statue's arrival in January at the museum entrance, cater-corner from the iconic portrait of Mao Zedong, set off a maelstrom of speculation, with many scholars describing it as a seismic step in the Communist Party's rehabilitation of Confucianism. In his day, Mao condemned that system of philosophical thought as backward and feudal; during the decade of the Cultural Revolution, Red Guards were encouraged to deface Confucian temples and statues. The scholar's ancestral home was destroyed, and bodies of long-dead descendants were exhumed and publicly displayed.  
But that was then. Eager to fill the vacuum left by the fading of Maoist ideology, the party in recent years has been championing Confucianism as a national code of conduct, with special emphasis on tenets like ethical behavior, respect for the elderly, social harmony and obedience to authority. Since 2004, the government has opened more than 300 Confucius Institutes around the world to promote the country's "soft power."  
Some academics say that placing a mammoth paean to Confucius a stone's throw from Mao's mausoleum may have gone too far. Chen Lai, a Confucian studies expert at Tsinghua University, suggested that those in the influential Central Party School who opposed the statue's placement near the square had been quietly agitating against it...Unrepentant Maoists celebrated the move on Friday. "The witch doctor who has been poisoning people for thousands of years with his slave-master spiritual narcotic has finally been kicked out of Tiananmen Square!" one writer, using the name Jiangxi Li Jianjun, wrote on the Web site Maoflag.net 
For those who have been heartened by the government's embrace of Confucian values, news of the statue's removal was devastating. Guo Qijia, a professor at Beijing Normal University who helps run the China Confucius Institute, said that only Confucian teachings could rescue China from what he described as a moral crisis.  
--"Confucius Statue Vanishes Near Tiananmen Square," by Andrew Jacobs, The New York Times.com (4.22.11)  
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/23/world/asia/23confucius.html