Sunday, October 31, 2010

Love & Compassion: Thich Nhat Hanh

From Thich Nhat Hanh, a Vietnamese Zen monk:
Love is a mind that brings peace, joy, and happiness to another person. Compassion is a mind that removes the suffering that is present in the other. We all have the seeds of love and compassion in our minds, and we can develop these fine and wonderful sources of energy.
We can nurture the unconditional love that does not expect anything in return and therefore does not lead to anxiety and sorrow. The essence of love and compassion is understanding, the ability to recognize the physical, material, and psychological suffering of others, to put ourselves "inside the skin" of the other. We "go inside" their body, feelings, and mental formations, and witness for ourselves their suffering...
To look deeply is to understand. When we look deeply...once we understand the reasons...we become reconciled with ourselves...and we will long for others to suffer less.**
These are wonderful sentiments and much needed understandings. But our humanity and our selfish, self-protecting barriers most often make it all seem so unlikely, Polyannaish, even risky or unwise. But that should not be so--and it cannot be if we are to continue humanity's  "non-zero-sum" progression toward wider and stronger community. It certainly cannot be if we people of faith are to meaningfully, obediently, answer our call.

For those of Diestic faith--Christians like me, for example--shouldn't we see this kind of teaching, discipline, and experience as consistent with the example and teachings of Jesus and the revered Scriptures of faith? Isn't it a compatible, practical and helpful adjunct discipline in living the Christian life of love, forgiveness, and compassion? And given our understandings of God's indwelling, transforming relationship with us and His purposes for us, shouldn't we walk such a path as Thich Nhat Hanh sets out with joy, but also with the confidence and trust that must reside with that indwelling, overflowing Love in God? Shouldn't we trust that God's Love casts out fear?

And shouldn't we find in this humble Zen monk a welcome brother in God's work in the world whether he understands or accepts in the same way a relationship with Christ and God, or not? Thomas Merton thought we should, and so do I.

[**From "Meditation on Compassion," in Peace is Every Step by Thich Nhat Hanh]

Friday, October 29, 2010

A Poem by the New Poet Laureate, W.S. Merwin


W.S. Merwin is the new poet laureate of the United States. For all his giftedness and the power of his verse, and for all the years he has been sharing this gift with the world, I was introduced to his poetry only a couple years ago. Kerson Huang, emeritus professor of physics at MIT, poet, and friend to me, suggested that, as good and touching as my preferences in poetry might be, they were missing something important, something profoundly personal and moving, if they did not include the poetry of Hawaii's octogenarian treasure, W.S Merwin. 

He directed me to an interview and discussion with Merwin by PBS' Bill Moyers which was both engaging and intriguing. (The interview can still be found on-line. And the other night, Merwin was again interviewed by PBS, this time by the News Hour on the occasion of his appointment as poet laureate.) But to encourage my interest in reading more of W.S. Merwin's poetry, Kerson first sent me this poem:

"Yesterday"

My friend says I was not a good son
you understand
I say yes I understand

he says I did not go
to see my parents very often you know
and I say yes I know

even when I was living in the same city he says
maybe I would go there once
a month or maybe even less
I say oh yes

he says the last time I went to see my father
I say the last time I saw my father

he says the last time I saw my father
he was asking me about my life
how I was making out and he
went into the next room
to get something to give me

oh I say
feeling again the cold
of my father's hand the last time
he says and my father turned
in the doorway and saw me
look at my wristwatch and he
said you know I would like you to stay
and talk with me

oh yes I say

but if you are busy he said
I don't want you to feel that you
have to
just because I'm here

I say nothing

he says my father
said maybe
you have important work you are doing
or maybe you should be seeing
somebody I don't want to keep you

I look out the window
my friend is older than I am
he says and I told my father it was so
and I got up and left him then
you know

though there was nowhere I had to go
and nothing I had to do

--W.S. Merwin

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Biggest Lies of the Midterms: factcheck.org

Regardless of your political leanings or candidate preferences, your level of frustration, disappointment or anger, you may find this article illuminating, or at least useful. Before you dismiss or cry bias over whichever finding does not affirm your understanding or assuage your emotional angst, do read the assurance that it has all been compiled and written in collaboration with factcheck.org. It is worth reading before next week's mid-terms. I have edited out a lot of the unique and outrageous statements that apply to individual races, but I encourage you to read those too in the full Newsweek article, "The Biggest Misstatements of the Midterms" (10.26.10).

From the article: 
A roundup of the most widely repeated falsehoods or misleading claims of the 2010 campaign.
Summary
Midterm elections are an embarrassment of riches for fact-checkers — this year more than others. With Democrats fighting desperately to keep control of the House and Senate, and a torrent of money from corporations and other undisclosed, unaccountable sources adding fuel to the Republican attack, the amount of deceit in political advertising is at least as high as we've ever seen.
Some candidates slung whatever mud they thought would stick, regardless of the facts. One falsely claimed his opponent had been a Vietnam draft dodger who "doesn't love his country" — and then compared his opponent to the Taliban.
Republicans accused Democrats of favoring cuts in Medicare benefits, while Democrats claimed their opponents would cut Social Security benefits. Republicans accused Democrats of planning to unleash a huge tax increase on ordinary families and on small-business owners, while many Democrats accused Republicans of wanting to slap a 23 percent national sales tax on everything from groceries to medicine, as though that would come on top of all existing taxes. We found fault with all those claims, on both sides.
For our round-up of the campaign year's most widely repeated misstatements — and the wildest — read on...
Analysis:
Health Care Retreads
Misrepresentations of the new health care law have been a staple of Republican campaigns. Some ads go so far as to claim (falsely) that the law would cause Medicare patients to lose their doctors, or (also falsely) that Democrats favored giving Viagra to sex offenders, or (false again) that typical families will pay $2,100 more in premiums.

A common theme is that the law contains a $500 billion Medicare "cut" that will translate into less benefits, but that's misleading. The law calls for reducing the future growth of Medicare spending over the next 10 years by about 7 percent. Plus, the law stipulates that guaranteed Medicare benefits won't be reduced, and it adds some new benefits, such as improved coverage for pharmaceuticals. Those seniors on Medicare Advantage plans (one out of four beneficiaries), however, will likely see their extra benefits reduced. These private insurance plans currently receive higher payments from the government than traditional Medicare, and the law decreases those payments over time. In addition, the law calls for reducing the future growth in payments to hospitals and other providers. While experts say some hospitals will have trouble coping with the new spending restraints, ads go too far in claiming that the law will "gut Medicare" or "hurt the quality of our care."

Social Security Hyperbole
A number of Democratic candidates — in Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Kentucky, Colorado and other states — have claimed that their opponents want to abolish or "privatize" Social Security. In most cases that's a serious overstatement. At one point, the president himself claimed that Republican leaders were as eager to "privatize" Social Security as they were to repeal his health care law, which isn't true.

Some Republican candidates and incumbents do favor allowing younger workers to invest some portion of their payroll taxes in the stock market, but few if any have supported replacing the current system entirely with a fully privatized system, like the one in Chile. And even voluntary, partial privatization is far from the top of the GOP agenda. The idea died for lack of GOP support when President Bush tried to push it through a Republican-controlled Congress in 2005.
Taxing the Truth, Part I
Another misleading Republican theme is that Democrats are about to unleash a huge tax increase on the typical family, or on small-business owners. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin said "Democrats are poised now to cause this largest tax increase in U.S. history." Similar claims have been spread by Republican TV ads, by widely forwarded chain e-mails, in interviews and even by "tweets" and other social media.
It's true that the tax cuts of 2001 and 2003 are set to expire at the end of this year, under terms set in law by a Republican Congress and President George W. Bush. But Democrats have said all along that they don't intend to let all of the tax cuts expire, or even most of them. President Obama and most House and Senate Democrats favor keeping all the cuts that apply to taxpayers who earn less than $250,000 as a couple, or $200,000 as single filers. In addition, a number of conservative Democrats (or those nervous about reelection) even say they favor extending the cuts for everybody — including those at the top — at least for another year or two. A lame-duck Congress will decide, after the election.

As for the claim that Democrats favor "a huge tax hike on small business," in the words of one ad, that's also wrong for the vast majority of small-business owners. Only about 3 percent of those with any business income showing on their personal returns would see a tax increase. Republicans retreated to claiming that half the small-business "income" — as opposed to business owners — would see an increase. But that's wrong, too. Much of the "small"-business income they are counting comes from businesses with yearly income of $50 million or more — which is big business income in just about anybody's book.

Taxing the Truth, Part II
In dozens of TV ads, Democrats or Democratic-leaning groups accused Republicans of favoring a 23 percent national sales tax, as though such a thing would come in addition to existing taxes. The attacks (which were also made in fancy mail pieces) amounted to a misrepresentation of the "FairTax" proposal. The claims failed to mention that the sales tax would replace — not add to — existing federal income and payroll taxes. Democrats also left out any mention of offsetting rebates designed to mitigate the increased cost of essentials like food and medicine — a main feature of the FairTax proposal.

In the past, we've written about the FairTax from the other side: In 2007,
we pointed out misleading claims by FairTax proponents. We noted that a bipartisan panel of tax experts — put together by President George W. Bush — had rejected the idea and said the tax would have to amount to at least 34 percent (not 23 percent) of the sales price of goods and services to raise enough revenue to replace other federal taxes. But that's no excuse for misrepresenting the proposal, so this year our darts are pointed the other way.

Stimulus Spin
Ads by Republicans in Connecticut, Florida, Washington, South Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania and elsewhere have claimed that the economic stimulus has failed to create jobs. We heard the same claims on talk shows and in speeches. House Minority Leader John Boehner even said in an address that the stimulus had harmed the job situation, since "America's employers are afraid to invest in an economy stalled by 'stimulus' spending and hamstrung by uncertainty."

In fact, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates that the stimulus increased employment by between 1.4 million and 3.3 million people, compared with what employment would have been otherwise. Observers may differ on whether that's a reasonable return on investment, but it's not accurate to say that the stimulus harmed employment or that it didn't help.

Far Out on Bailout
Everybody took the Wall Street bailout's name in vain this campaign season. Democratic House incumbents in nine states claimed that they voted against "the bailout" — meaning the Troubled Asset Relief Program — when in fact they weren't yet in office when it was enacted. (They voted against a later bill to allow release of the second half of TARP funds, a purely symbolic and futile vote. The Senate had already approved release and only disapproval by both houses could freeze the funds under terms set by the original bailout legislation.)

Meanwhile, some Republican ads accused Democratic House members of voting to give huge bonuses to Wall Street employees. That's a misleading reference to the stimulus bill — its final version contained looser restrictions on bonuses than the version originally passed in the Senate. But the actual funds used by companies for those bonuses came from TARP, not the stimulus, and nothing in the bill the Democrats supported called for or supported bonuses. The enacted bill simply failed to prevent as many of them as the Senate version might have.

Viral Favorites
The claims we're asked about most often don't always come from the mouths of politicians, or even their TV ads. Maybe because these claims are pure bohonkey. The falsehoods circulate widely by e-mail, forwarded by people who either don't know or don't care that they are spreading misinformation the way a virus spreads disease.
Whopper: The health care law puts a 3.8 percent tax on all home sales. Actually, the new health care law's tax only applies to the sale of a primary residence in rare cases. For individuals, it falls on profit that exceeds $250,000, if the individual's income exceeds $200,000. For couples, the tax falls only on profits exceeding $500,000, if joint income is more than $250,000.
Whopper: Obama plans a 1 percent tax on all bank transactions. That's based on a single House member's bill that isn't supported by the White House, has no cosponsors, and has never even gotten a hearing in committee.
Whopper: Congress voted itself a pay raise at the expense of the Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment. It's true that there has been no COLA for 2010 and 2011, but the COLA is calculated automatically based on inflation rates. And Congress voted to freeze its pay for 2010 and 2011.
by Jess Henig, Viveca Novak and Brooks Jackson for factcheck.org.
Click below for entire article:
http://www.newsweek.com/2010/10/26/the-biggest-misstatements-of-the-midterms.html

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Nightmare on Orms Street


From friend Jim Stahl, a letter to the Providence Journal:
Letter to the Editor
Nightmare on Orms Street
Monday afternoon an apparently disabled man stumbled and fell walking up Orms Street. Watching him teeter and fall in my rearview mirror, I turned around, parked, approached him and asked if he needed help. He was bleeding from stitches in several places, he was drunk, and a near-empty gin bottle lay on the sidewalk nearby. I asked his name, his destination, where he'd just been. His reply: he'd just been released from a nearby hospital. One of his shoes was oddly crooked. Walking caused pain, which explained some of his stumble. He wore hospital-issue pants, blood stained. I wondered whether a beating or a car accident had caused his multiple wounds: above his brow black stitches had closed a swollen bump the size of a baby carrot.  Large Frankenstein-style stitches scarred his head and arm. How long had he been out of the hospital? Twenty minutes, he replied. Why was he discharged? No insurance, he said. He had handsome blue eyes and an intelligent voice. He said he worked recently in housekeeping at a nearby hotel.

Given the stumble and fall I had just witnessed, it seemed possible that his next fall might bring him under the wheel of a bus. I decided to take him in my car to his destination up Orms street. I was scared – of the blood on his body, of the possibility of sudden violence, of my liability should he fall and get hurt under my charge. And I was oddly embarrassed: no drivers witnessing this scene offered a hand. I felt foolish. I thought of calling 911 but could not be sure this man's complete vulnerability, and his inexcusable public drunkenness, would not invite more abuse.  Recent and old stories in the ProJo, and video clips on the evening news, of kicks and night sticks aimed at Providence's most helpless gave me pause. So holding him under the arm, I got him into my car.

At his destination, thankfully, someone knew him. A milk crate appeared and I sat him down. My job done, I drove off sad, angry, and confused: confused that this bloodied and bewildered Rhode Island man, for lack of medical insurance, was released from a well-regarded hospital with so little concern for his personal safety or his dignity; sad that a lack of trust and confidence made me afraid to call 911 on his behalf; and angry for two reasons—that helping the helpless has become so out of vogue that doing so made me feel embarrassed, and that a life of good fortune -- free from the crack of abuse, negligence, misery, and indignity ---  is available only to those of us with money in the bank. This man obviously had none. When the money's gone, watch out. Any one of us could be the next to fall on Orms street.
---by R. James Stahl, Providence RI, publisher of Merlyn's Pen, and Merlyn's Pen New Library of Young Adult Writing
I wish you were not such an accomplished story teller, Jim. This is a heart-wrenching and dispiriting story made all the more vivid and troubling by your most personal and sensitive account. You reflect a sense of responsibility, even accountability--and yes, a range of human reactions--rarely shown and only occasionally expressed by individuals, institutions and government. Thank you. I hope they publish it and it is widely read.

Something like this story is now-and-then told or written about in more prosaic, detached terms about such neglected individuals and the hospitals around the country that neglect them. There are all the understandable reasons: the limitations of our system and institutions, the defeated, muted voices of those denied help, the preference of most of us not to see or hear. All we can do is keep telling the stories, Jim, and advocating for the healthcare system all Americans deserve. Thanks again for doing your part, for sharing your story.

Greg

Sunday, October 10, 2010

Demography and Economic Destiny: An Unnerving View

[T]he global economic crisis is really about old age—and how to encourage prosperous countries to have more children.
Europe's demographic problems are not only forcing startling cutbacks in the welfare state but also are damaging the Continent's prospects for sustained growth and economic recovery. Worse, Europe's today is the rest of the world's tomorrow.
We have now entered a radically new phase in human affairs. Due primarily to the global decline in birthrates, such population growth as remains is mostly in the form of increasing numbers of old people. The absolute supply of children is already in steep decline, not only in Europe but even in once highly fertile places like Russia, China, Mexico, and Iran.
Over the next 40 years, according to the UN, world population will grow from 6.9 billion to 9.1 billion, which may sound like more of the same robust growth that we saw throughout the 20th century. But this will be a very different kind of population growth from anything humankind has seen before. The rate of growth is perpetually diminishing toward zero, and more than half of the remaining increase in population (56 percent) will be among people over 60 — among people, that is, who have already been born.
This may seem impossible, but when calculating population growth, declining death rates are just as important as rising birthrates. Today's children are more likely than their parents to live to advanced ages. Even without any new children being born, this decline in mortality by itself would add to the number of people on the planet. Today's population explosion among those over 60 will be echoed in twenty years by a population explosion among those over 80. Most of the predicted 2.2 billion in world population growth between now and 2050 will not come from children. Indeed, over that period, the population of young children (0 to 4) is expected to fall by 49 million.
---"Demography and Economic Destiny," by Phillip Longman, Big Questions On-Line (8.17.10) [Phillip Longman is a senior research fellow at the New America Foundation and Schwartz Senior Fellow at the Washington Monthly. His latest book, co-authored with Ray Boshara, is The Next Progressive Era: A Blueprint for Broad Prosperity.]
So, we are to understand that most of the future population growth in the world will be first among those over 60, then those over 80. If what is being reported here is anywhere near correct--and it has that credible ring to it, doesn't it?--it is sobering stuff, my friends. And if you think about it, we should not be surprised. We have seen the trend to fewer children and older populations work its way through the European countries, then Japan and our own. Projections for China are for more of the same--and there it could create the most challenging situation of all. The article further explains:
The financing of the welfare state depends critically on population growth. So long as there are rising numbers of younger workers, each new generation of retirees can get back far more in pensions and health-care benefits than they ever paid in, and they can do so without creating a financial encumbrance on the future. As the Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Samuelson once proclaimed, in defense of America's Social Security system, "a growing nation is the greatest Ponzi scheme ever contrived. And that is a fact, not a paradox." But Samuelson was writing in 1967, when it looked as if the Baby Boom would go on forever.
Consider the popular understandings and prescriptions for our social security system that have been the subject of greater concern and more hand wringing with each passing decade. It is projected to start operating at an annual deficit sometime around 2017, and then to be operating without sufficient funds to meet its obligations sometime before 2040. And we know that is in large part because of the bloated Baby-Boom generation now beginning to fall into their retirement years. And the dramatic, necessary increase in social security tax cost per worker in the following generations will be onerous indeed, regardless of adjustments or changes.

But we've been addressing this issue as though it were a unique phenomenon which, after it passes through the system, will leave behind a normal array of generations reflecting the demographic growth of those preceding the Boomers. That is, each succeeding generation will have more children and be larger than the last. But not likely. And so our problem becomes larger, much larger, and the implications more frightening.

These data and prognostications forewarn us that what we will be left with--indeed, what is already the case and proceeding--are following generations themselves unique, but for their growth in the elderly, not the young. It's true that this is not the first time we've read suggestions or ominous projections along these lines. Perhaps the headlines are never prominent enough, the publications not influential enough, the data not unequivocal enough, or the authors not authoritative enough. Or, perhaps we are holding on to every possibility of a silver lining, every short-term reprieve that we hope will somehow be longer lasting. There are apparently transitional stages, temporary upsides, that give us that hope. As the article explains:
Falling birthrates do not instantly damage an economy. Indeed, at first, they often do just the opposite. A first-order effect of a society's producing fewer children is that a rising share of the population occupies the prime productive years of young adulthood. Also, with fewer children around to demand attention, vast reserves of female labor are freed up, and there are more resources available to invest in each remaining child, so that, for example, literacy rates improve. Japan experienced this demographic "sweet spot" in the 1960s and 1970s, and China is experiencing it today.
But, apparently, this too will pass--and what will be left to us is a failed social welfare funding scheme. And it's effects lurk just another decade or two down the timeline, just around the next political bend. But, regardless, we remain somehow in denial, and the reality does not achieve traction, not really, not the right level of attention by the right people, the opinion makers and reporters, and those who move and define the political agendas. But perhaps, it's because it's just too challenging, too complicated and threatening to know how to begin to address it or place it before the voting public--especially when no one yet has workable, politically-viable answers. From the same article:

Perhaps there is an economic system that can preserve prosperity even in the face of an aging, stagnating population, but it has not yet been devised. It is no coincidence that modern industrial capitalism emerged amid the population explosion of late 18th-century England or that it flourished most in the rapidly growing United States. A young, growing population creates more demand for products and a larger supply of labor. By encouraging people to look for more efficient ways to provide food, energy, and other essentials, it also spurs innovation and entrepreneurism...
[And] In every country of the world, regardless of its stage of economic development, form of government, or age structure, the highest rates of entrepreneurial activity are found among those who are age 25 to 34.
We can't be surprised about that either. If we cannot find the political will to deal with social security funding and the retiring Baby Boomers as an isolated phenomenon--especially when the answers have been around for decades, and the pain modest, indeed--how do we ever expect politicians and governments to deal with world-wide stagnant demographics and increasingly aged populations? Politicians don't get elected on platforms like that, and governing parties don't remain governing when they address them realistically.

It will take a completely fresh and innovative rethinking of social welfare benefits and funding--and perhaps, as this author suggests, a rethinking of economic models, creativity and productivity, informed by a competent, sober sensitivity analysis of the economic effects of changing demographics. 

Can democracy and democratically-elected government meet these challenges and effect the necessary changes before an angry and denying citizenry votes them out of office? How does the level of anger and impatience in today's economic and political environment inform us about answers to that question? Will more autocratic governments fare better? The next generations deserve and will require more effectual, more accountable government than we now have. It will be absolutely essential to meeting their future with the necessary level of informed understanding and commitment to timely, orderly change that will assure economic and social stability in their time.

Friday, October 1, 2010

Higher Education Pays? How Much? Is It Worth the Cost?

Higher education has a public-relations problem. Family incomes are stagnant, but tuition keeps going up. Many students who begin college don't graduate. Even among those who do, students who borrow are finishing with greater and greater average debt burdens. And then they're walking into a tough job market. So what is a college degree really worth?
On Tuesday, the College Board released its latest installment of "Education Pays,"  a report that showcases the financial and nonfinancial payoffs of earning that degree. In the introduction, the report's authors make clear that they know the fray they're stepping into: "Too often, colorful anecdotes about individuals who have had unfortunate experiences capture the spotlight and lead to inaccurate generalizations about the dangers of making this major life investment," they write.
Despite that mission, Sandy Baum, an independent analyst for the College Board and one of the report's authors, says that "Education Pays" is about data, not advocacy. "This report per se is presenting evidence," says Ms. Baum, who also writes for The Chronicle on its Innovations blog. "We're not telling anyone to do anything."
-- "Education Pays, but How Much?" by Beckie Supiano, The Chronicle of Higher Education (9.21.10)
Here's the good news: the more education you have, the more money you make--on average. The College Board's latest report reaffirms this again. It is not news. These general data were well known and understood by all ten years ago when I was studying higher education in graduate ed school, and for a long time before that. What is different is how controversial the reports are now, how much the value of higher education is called into question because of the continuing annual increases in the cost of higher education, and the financial strain created by the Great Recession on so many families and students. But first, from the same article, the latest College Board data on the relative earnings strength of different levels of education, particularly higher education:

     Earnings ratio relative to high school graduates
  • Not a high school grad                       0.71
  • High school graduate                         1.00
  • Some college, no degree                    1.13
  • Associate degree                               1.24
  • Bachelor's degree                              1.66
  • Masters degree                                  1.97
  • Doctoral degree                                 2.58
  • Professional degree                            2.74

Of course, in real-life individual cases, it matters how able you are--how smart you are, how well you perform, where you went to school, what you studied, professional training and certifications, your confidence and industry. In individual cases, it depends on a lot of things.  Some will make much more than the averages, some less. That said, it is still clear that, in general, the more education you have, the more likely you are to ascend ladders of success and earn more income. No surprises in all that. 

How does this translate to real dollars? Because of misinterpretation or misuse of the information, this year the College Board did not attempt to estimate the total earnings a college or graduate degree would add to that of a high school diploma over the course of a career. But in 2007, the report estimated that number to be $800K for college grads and $1 million for those with advanced degrees. Of course, the "present value" of those earning today is a lot less; they estimated $450K in the case of the college graduate and $570K in the case of the advanced degree holder.

Now this present-value adjustment is of more than passing interest when you consider that, for those who can afford it, the cost of higher education is paid in today's dollars. But for large and increasing numbers of students, those costs are first met with loans that will be repaid by them or their parents over a period of years, usually about ten years--plus interest. So, for the borrower-students, too, those present-value estimates are much closer to the true added value of income they will receive than the larger nominal amounts. 

Still, it may seem easy to conclude that $450K in additional earnings justifies the cost of a college education. But that college education can cost very different amounts depending whether you attend a state college, a state university, or a private university. Important also is the timing of when you earn that money--that is, how much will you earn in the earlier years of your career when you will be repaying those education loans. Since most families and students must finance college with ever-increasing amounts of education loans, the timing of that new job and the starting income compared with the required debt service in the early years can make a pauper of the new graduate. And if you drop out of college, cannot find an appropriate job on graduation, or must accept a lesser paying job, the burden of that education debt becomes oppressive, indeed--or just unworkable. And it could be ten years or more before that financial burden is lifted.

Let's look at the cost of attending various types of colleges today:

  • Selective private universities & liberal arts colleges: tuition: approx. $39K / room, board: $13K.
  • State flagship university (e.g., University of Rhode Island): tuition: $10K, out-of-state, $27K / room, board: $11K.*
  • State college (e.g., Rhode Island College): tuition: $7K, out-of-state, $17K / room, board: $9500.*
  • State community college (e.g., Community College of R.I.): tuition: $3650, out-of-state, $9800 / room, board: NA.*

An article at msnbc.com presents Boston University economics professor Laurence Kotlikoff's example of the relative cost and payback for an accountant based on whether he attended a selective private university or a state university. From the msnbc.com article:
Perhaps the greatest lesson of the Great Recession isn't that you shouldn't go to college, but that you should approach it like you would any other investment: with caution.
"It's a very risky investment," said Laurence Kotlikoff, an economics professor at Boston University and president of Economic Security Planning Inc., which makes financial planning software. Calculations done by Kotlikoff for msnbc.com suggest that attending a public college might make more financial sense than a private college. Private schools charge $26,300 a year on average, compared with $7,000 for in-state students at public, four-year schools, according to the College Board.
Using his company's website, ESPlanner.com, Kotlikoff calculated how much discretionary income a student would have after graduation, assuming he or she took out loans to fund an education at University of Massachusetts at Amherst, a public school, or private New York University. The calculation assumed the student earned a business degree, got a job making $65,900 (the median industry salary, according to the BLS)  and paid 8 percent interest on the loans.
After factoring in everything from taxes to 401(k) contributions, Kotlikoff calculated the graduate paying off the debt from UMass would have $36,515 for discretionary spending. That would remain stable even after his debt was paid off. The NYU graduate would never catch up. He or she would have $22,128 for discretionary spending at age 22, rising to $35,311 at age 42, when the debt is paid off.
Of course, there are factors that could make the higher debt more worthwhile. Perhaps the NYU graduate would find that degree translated into a higher salary over time, making the extra tuition pay off. But even at the most elite private universities, there are no such guarantees.
---"Is it worth it to go to college? Daunting debt makes some wary of higher education," by Allison Linn, msnbc.com (8.9.10)
Not only are there no such guarantees, but recently reported research indicates that the choice between a highly selective school and a state school appears to make but little difference to one's future success. The reported research I'm talking about found that kids with the same SAT scores and high school performance who go to the most prominent schools they can get into--including the Ivies and other elite schools--have, on average, no more long-term career and financial success than those who attend less prestigious, less expensive schools, including state colleges. That is, a similar level of ability and industry, combined with a competent college education and degree--whether at an Ivy or a public college--usually yields a similar level of success.

In addition to popular lore, don't we already understand that instinctively, empirically? Of course, there's always the cache and appeal that attaches to brand-name schools--and they may make a difference in opening those first doors. But are they worth subverting one's financial future when, in the end, ability and industry will more likely open the doors to your long-term future? For most middle-class and less well-off families and students, it is not.

And most recent graduates do not find jobs paying $66K per year, not as starting salaries. Top CPA firm accountants or engineers, perhaps, but not most liberal arts, education and public service graduates. For them, the required levels of education debt to attend private universities are often just not workable.

Given all we've presented, you will understand my recommendation to families and children for whom financing higher education is a major financial burden. First, if there is any workable way for the student to attend college and get that bachelor's degree, do it. But, the options and decisions should be approached with caution. Unless there is an academic or athletic scholarship to be had at that private university, they should choose the home state university or college--and apply for every scholarship grant available, both at the school and in the community. If necessary, commute from home.

The best value? Spend the first two years commuting to a state community college, then transfer to a state college or university ($3600 for two years, then $7000-10,000 for the last two years). It is not the most glamorous option for higher education, but in most cases, this will assure the fastest return and the maximum return from one's higher education investment. And the related loan payments will be much less likely to impoverish the new grad.

But here's another exacerbating problem: most all states have been backing away from their higher levels of financial support for their state schools of higher education. This has been happening in slow increments for some years. But just since 2006-07,  Rhode Island's contribution to higher education has decreased by 23%. And now, the dire budgetary situation authored by the Great Recession has the state budget office asking for another 15%.* In the short term, this can only mean further increases in state university tuition. In time, it will contribute to setting the table for restructuring all higher education. It has to come soon, for both private and state institutions.**

State-supported higher education has been the foundation of America's economic success, and the springboard of the American dream. It is at the heart of our national strength and international prominence. It has long provided and inspired a better informed and contributing citizenry in civic and political affairs, and a quality of life that is the envy of the world.

A sense of both concern and sadness necessarily attends an understanding of what the weakening of public financial support for higher education portends for public access and financial affordability for most American families and students, and for the foundational strengths of our country. But in the end, our hope lies in rethinking the definition, structure and delivery of high education in the U.S.**

* As reported in the Providence Journal (9.30.10)

**For further thoughts on the need for higher education reform, see the "Education" section of my recent post, "On Public Goods: Providing Education & Healthcare."

Monday, September 27, 2010

Dems & Independents: More They Know, More They Like Healthcare Bill

The [new AP] poll's questions included a true-or-false quiz on 19 items, some of which are in the [new health care] law and others not. People were also asked how confident they were about their answers. For the most part, majorities picked the right answers. But a sizable number also got things wrong. And right or wrong, people were unsure of their answers. Two-thirds or more were uncertain about their responses on eight of nine core provisions of the legislation.

Analysis of the findings indicated a split as far as the impact of accurate knowledge, between Democrats and independents on one side and Republicans on the other. Accurate knowledge of the law made no difference in overwhelming opposition from Republicans... However, for Democrats and independents, the more accurate knowledge people had of the bill, the more they liked it.

---"AP Poll: Health care law making us muddle-minded," By Ricardo Alonzo-Zaldivar and Trevor Tompson, Associated Press (9.22.10)
This poll is, perhaps, the most helpful clarification to date of what people are really thinking in their confusion about the provisions of the new healthcare legislation (the Affordable Care Act). It affirmed how confused and unsure they were of what the bill will do. For example, asked how the Congressional Budget Office had scored the cost of the legislation, 81% answered it wrong, saying it would increase the government's debt, when the CBO concluded it would reduce the federal budget deficit over time. (But yes, there remain those many important areas related to the definition and actual provision of covered care that sooner or later must be addressed.)

Both in this poll and another recent poll, a lack of understanding played a clear role in the majority of people being against the bill or neutral toward it. Of course, stated another way, it's also true that the majority of people were for the bill or neutral toward. The understandings of Dems and independents determine the outcome; it matters how much they know, and how confident they are about it. From the article:
Overall, three out of ten in the poll said they favored the law, while four in ten said they were opposed. Another 30 percent were neutral. The findings on support and opposition differ from another recent AP poll, but the two surveys cannot be compared because they were drawn up and carried out differently. The other survey, an AP-GfK political poll, found 41 percent supporting the bill and 46 percent opposing it, with only 12 percent neutral.

The new survey was conducted Aug. 31 to Sept. 7, and involved interviews with 1,251 randomly chosen adults nationwide. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
And more, the poll indicates that 40% of the respondents believe the law did not go far enough in reforming our health care system. Poll results, as a whole, suggest that Republicans are misreading the publics support for repeal. From a related article:
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Barack Obama's health care overhaul has divided the nation, and Republicans believe their call for repeal will help them win elections in November. But the picture's not that clear cut. A new AP poll finds that Americans who think the law should have done more outnumber those who think the government should stay out of health care by 2-to-1...
The poll found that about four in 10 adults think the new law did not go far enough to change the health care system, regardless of whether they support the law, oppose it or remain neutral. On the other side, about one in five say they oppose the law because they think the federal government should not be involved in health care at all.
Those numbers are no endorsement for Obama's plan, but the survey also found a deep-seated desire for change that could pose a problem for Republicans. Only 25 percent in the poll said minimal tinkering would suffice for the health care system...Republicans "are going to have to contend with the 75 percent who want substantial changes in the system," said Stanford political science professor Jon Krosnick, who directed the university's participation."Republican legislators' passion to repeal the legislation is understandable if they are paying attention to members of their own party," Krosnick added. "But if they want to be responsive to all Americans, there are more Democrats and independents than there are Republicans."
---"AP Poll: Many think health overhaul should do more," by Ricardo Alonzo-Zaldiva and Jennifer Agiesta, Associated Press/The Providence Sunday Journal (9.26.10)
Then on September 23--last Thursday--the first of the new healthcare law's provisions went into effect. And for the many positively affected by it, that was welcome news. Actually, most all of us benefit from some of those provisions. On the 23rd and 24th, newspapers, television news, and on-line outlets reported the changes and implications in succinct, bullet-point format. Friend and health care blogger, Sandy Parker, weighed in with the others:

Posted: 23 Sep 2010 08:39 PM PDT

Today was the day the first set of benefits under the Affordable Care Act became available. Starting today (in the words of AmericasFairHealthCare.org):

•Full access to coverage - Children under 19 can no longer be rejected from health care plans due to pre-existing conditions. New plans cannot exclude anyone from coverage for a pre-existing condition.
•No more "lifetime limits" - Insurers can no longer limit the amount of coverage someone can receive over their lifetime.
•Free preventive care - New health insurance plans must provide preventive services such as mammograms and immunizations.
•Expanded coverage to young adults - Young adults can stay on their parents' health plan until age 26.

Consumer Reports also offers an excellent concise Guide to New Benefits—including the fine print. The New York Times has run no fewer than seven articles in the last three days related to health care reform. Together, they give a sense of the benefits, concerns and controversies swirling around, six months from the day the ACA was signed into law. [T]hey are summarized on the Times' excellent Health Care Reform News webpage.

--"Today was a big day," by Sandy Parker, So what do you think about that? (9.23.10)
Just addressing this handful of changes now in effect--changes that will help a lot of people--makes them appear more comprehensible, and more likely to be viewed favorably by many more people they actually help. While not addressed in any of the articles cited above, there can be little doubt that the confusion and misunderstanding that many people harbor about the new bill are directly related to the polarized politics surrounding it--the pull-out-all-stops approach, the truth-twisting and misrepresentations, of Republicans and other politically and financially interested groups. The purpose has been to mislead and confuse. And they have largely succeeded.

It is reported that President Obama will soon make yet another attempt to communicate the basic facts and advantages of the plan to the American public. If it is that clear that the better Dems and independents understand the bill, the better they like it, it will be all the more important to Dems in the mid-term elections that Obama be more effective this time.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gSXIViw_RWvU3uweKkhKfhAVGgqgD9ICHR1O2
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_HEALTH_CARE_POLL?SITE=RIPRJ&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

Sunday, September 26, 2010

The Telltale Heart


A quiet-time reflection: More important, perhaps, than assessments of our capabilities and successes, is how we assess and work with our shortcomings, our failings--both individually and institutionally. Related is the timeless Christian admonition, now so seldom heard, that it is not so much a matter of whether we succeed, but the heart and love with which we serve. Good things to occasionally reflect on.
 

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

God With Us

     Here, some poems from different sources, times and perspectives, but with common or related experiential understandings. But they are limited to the reference points and lexicon of their place and time for words to express them.

 
W.H Auden   
(from Anthem)

Let us praise our Maker, with true passion extol Him.
Let the whole creation give out another sweetness,
Nicer in the nostrils, a novel fragrance
From cleansed occasions in accord together
As one feeling fabric, all flushed and intact,
Phenomena and numbers announcing in one
Multitudinous ecumenical song
Their grand giveness of gratitude and joy,
Peaceable and plural, their positive truth
An authoritative This, an unthreatened Now
When, in love and in laughter, each lives itself,
For, united by His Word, cognition and power,
System and Order, are a single glory,
And the pattern is complex, their places safe.


Walt Whitman
(from To See God)

Why should I wish to see God better than this day?
I see something of God each hour of the twenty four,
and each moment then,
In the faces of men and women I see God
and in my own face in the glass,
I see letters from God dropped in the street,
and every one is signed by God's name.


Emily Bronte
(from Last Lines)

No coward soul is mine,
No trembler in the world's storm-troubled sphere:
I see heaven's glories shine,
And faith shines equal, arming me from fear.

Oh God within my breast,
Almighty, ever-present Deity!
Life--that in me has rest,
As I--undying Life--have power in thee!
...
With wide-embracing love
Thy Spirit animates eternal years,
Pervades and broods above,
Changes, sustains, dissolves, creates, and rears.

Though earth and man were gone,
And suns and universes ceased to be,
And Thou were left alone,
Every existence would exist in thee.

There is not room for Death,
Nor atom that his might could render void:
Thou--THOU are Being and Breath,
And what THOU art may never be destroy'd.


David
(from Psalm 139)

O Lord, you have searched me and known me.
You know when I sit down and when I rise up;
You understand my thoughts from afar.

You scrutinize my path and my lying down,
And are intimately aquainted with all my ways.
Even before there is a word on my tongue,
Behold, O Lord, you know it all.

You enclosed me behind and before,
And laid your hand upon me.
Such knowledge is too wonderful for me;
It is too high, I cannot attain to it...

For you did form my inward parts;
You did weave me in my mothers womb.
I will give thanks to You,
for I am fearfully and wonderfully made;
Wonderful are Your works,
And my soul knows it very well...

Your eyes have seen my unformed substance;
And in Your book they were all written,
The days that were ordained for me,
When as yet there was not one of them.


San Juan de la Cruz (St. John of the Cross)
(from The Spiritual Canticle)

Where have you hidden,
Beloved, and left me moaning?
You fled like the stag after wounding me;
I went out calling for you, but you were gone...

Seeking my Love
I will head for the mountains and for the watersides,
I will not gather flowers, nor fear wild beasts;
I will go beyond strong men and frontiers...

Why since you wounded this heart,
don't you heal it?
And why, since you stole it from me, do you leave it so,
and fail to carry off what you have stolen?
...
In the inner wine cellar
I drank of my Beloved, and when I went abroad
through all this valley,
I no longer knew anything,
and lost the flock that I was following.

There He gave me His breast;
there He taught me a sweet and living knowledge;
and I gave myself to Him, keeping nothing back;
and their I promised to be His bride.

My whole soul has now surrendered
With all its gifts to his dominion.
I have no flock to tend
Nor any other preoccupation,
For His love alone is now my occupation.


Rumi
(from The Religion of Love)

The sect of lovers is distinct from all others;
Lovers have a religion and faith of their own.
Though the ruby has no stamp, what matters it?
Love is fearless in the midst of the sea of fear.


Hafiz
(from Carrying God)

No one can keep us from carrying God
Wherever we go.

No one can rob His Name
From our hearts as we try to relinquish our fears
And at last stand, victorious.

We do not have to leave Him in the mosque
Or church alone at night;

We do not have to be jealous of tales of saints
Or those glorious, intoxicated souls
Who can make outrageous love with the Friend.

We do not have to be envious of our spirit's ability
Which can sometimes touch God in a dream.

Our yearning eyes, our warmth-needing bodies,
Can all be drenched in contentment
And Light.

No one anywhere can keep us
From carrying the Beloved wherever we go.

No one can rob His precious Name
From the rhythm of my heart, my steps and my breath.


Jesus
(from The Gospel of John)

Abide in me, and I in you...
Just as the Father has loved Me,
I have loved you;
Abide in that love...

If you keep My commandments,
you will abide in My love;
just as I have kept the Father's commandments,
and abide in His Love.

This is My commandment:
that you love one another,
just as I have loved you.


The Apostle Paul
(from Galatians 2 & Collosians 3)

...I died to the law
that I might live to God.
I have been crucified with Christ;
and it is no longer I who live,
but Christ who lives in me.
And the life I now live,
I live by faith in [Christ]...

If then, you have been raised up with Christ,
keep seeking the things above, where Christ is...
For you have died,
and your life is hidden with Christ
in God.


Wednesday, September 8, 2010

On the Kootenai, with Friends

I'm back from Montana, my 7th annual fly-fishing trip with friends on the Kootenai River, friends I met fishing the river. Richard Smith, who organizes the trips, Alan Pedlar, and Roy Geiger, all L.A. lawyers now mostly retired and living in Portland, Santa Cruz, and Sedona. All West Coast, except me.

And its not just about fishing. Whether the fishing is great or not, the weather good or not, it's most about being with people you like and enjoy, in a place that you like, as well--a place that still takes your breath away, however many times you go there. It's about fun, comaraderie, and great conversation over dinner. It's also about other friends there: the same guides we've fished with year in and year out--and Tim and Joanne Linehan, the outfitters who provide us the River House, the guide service, and the fantastic dinners we share. I can't imagine a year without sharing time on the river with these terrific people, these friends.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Summer Poems

by Mary Oliver
from her collection, Red Bird (2008).


Summer Morning

Heart,
I implore you,
its time to come back
from the dark,

it's morning,
the hills are pink
and the roses
whatever they felt

in the valley of night
are open now
their soft dresses,
their leaves

are shining.
Why are you laggard?
Sure you have seen this
a thousand times,

which isn't half enough.
Let the world
have its way with you,
luminous as it is

with mystery
and pain--
graced as it is
with the ordinary.


Summer Story

When the hummingbird
sinks its face
into the trumpet vine,
into the funnels

of the blossoms,
and the tongue
leaps out
and throbs,

I am scorched
to realize once again
how man small, available things
are in this world

that aren't
pieces of gold
or power--
that nobody owns

or could buy even
for a hillside of money--
that just
float about the world,

or drift over the fields,
or into the gardens,
and into the tents of the vines,
and now here I am

spending my time,
as the saying goes,
watching until the watching turns into feeling,
so that I feel I am myself

a small bird
with a terrible hunger,
with a thin beak probing and dipping
and a heart that races so fast

it is only a heartbeat ahead of breaking--
and I am the hunger and assuagement,
and also I am the leaves and the blossoms,
and, like them, I am full of delight, and shaking.